September 14, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Social Stranger | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stand Guard | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now We Are Free | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ride This Train | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drops and Buckets | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mid Ocean | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | R Way to Escape | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Tandy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Greta Greta Boo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trappe Play | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3B | 2 | Case Dismissed | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4B | 3 | Polarization | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Dancing Cool | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Given Achance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Polished Steel | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Dublin | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imasuperstar | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dutch Blitz | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emmett’s Dream | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matter of Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Love | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charging Lion | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Race Me Home (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayne’s Fever | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey’s Medal | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linda’s Nekia | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Philly Completely | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Nautical Nature | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dramatized | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tizanoxbow | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Perdido Bay | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baravelli | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Devilry | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | John’s Promise | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Withjustasplash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Unlimited Upside | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Frontier Woman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Emo | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Roving Kind | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Premier Justice | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yougottabekitten | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indehere | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Guilty Lady | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | J Spice | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Susi Sole | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Welsh Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Congress Hall | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Baby Bam Bam | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Epic Drama | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Call Wil | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Yay You | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Scout’s Honor | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 2 | Wild Wigglin Jack | 8.00 | 18.5 | 35-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Youdge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Gillette | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Private Party | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Taco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Meo Desperado | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Glory | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caprivi Strip | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meetmeatthewire | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunni Blaze | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger’s Coming | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Man | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leaping Empire | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arnina | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.