September 13, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bebeau | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strategic Outlook | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Prince | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Other Things Equal | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burn and Turn | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ridolfo | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shiloh Lane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moon Delight | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mazal Eighteen | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stretchthestory | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grudge | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Freud of Mama | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apollo’s Abraxas | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mind Changer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Makin’ Out | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Not About the Nail | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Today Comes Once | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nasty Affair | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love and Love | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Scones | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jen’s Battle | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sophie Rules | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Sassy Sarah | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strongerthanuknow | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unicorn Sally | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desbordes | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keypit | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eli Rocks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coffee Crush | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Madita (GER) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Altea (FR) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Broken Border | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Pivotal Connection (GB) | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollywood Glory | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye Brockley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Imperioso | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Macho Boy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stone Guitar | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Microscope | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Diannesimpazible | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Candygramformongo | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | My Father’s Eyes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Factorofwon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Filibustin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Souper Striking | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Boos (FR) | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Misericordia (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Satisfy | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Inscom | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon in May | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Scoreswhenhewants | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Running Violence | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Allured | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Whiskey Is My Wine | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Letterman | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Amanjena | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dull Knife | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kumar | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Shiny Copper Penny | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fotis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Hero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Soul Fight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sargeant Drive | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.