September 12, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bareeqa | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vip Nation | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Praise | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glam | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Loyalty | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Puparee | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Fond | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spice Road | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mubarmaj | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road to Meath | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ownitifyouwantit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail Michigan | 7.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hawaiian Noises | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clench | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absentee | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardcore Folklore | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Booby Trap | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trance | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Monkeyseemonkeydo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | What’s to Blame | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lookin At Roses | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Higher Authority | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deft | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teachable Moment | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Conviction Trade | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brahe | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Foti | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cobble Hill | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Final Say | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Special Story | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Caretaker | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Sudden Surprise | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Bunt | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | H Man | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zonic | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Prince | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speightful Kitten | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Belt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ian Glass | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rohrbacher | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baffin Bay | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Kitten | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artemus Bridge | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Poke the Bear | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Southern Brigade | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beachside | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Seanow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Pauseforthecause | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honor Way | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lezendary | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | China Rider | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Squan’s Kingdom | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Noni Go | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Recess | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farcical | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fika | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Expense | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Katook | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Handle With Care | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rhinegold | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stunning Beauty | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Bull Feathers | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scarlet’s Command | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Violetas Visions | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firestormy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Low Is Laine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Frosty Linz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rare Gift | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.