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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 8, 2019

September 8, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Notice Me 1.60 2.5 5-1
5 5 Biondetti’s Choice 2.00 4 8-1
4 4 Alkeline 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Calais Cove 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Falcon’s View 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Maximum Entropy 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mc Culley 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mizuchi 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Rebellion’s Dream 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Transfer Pricing 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Harmony Hall 5.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Mission Six 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Hedeman 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Dancing With Zorro 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bayou Belle 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Bold Strike 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lake Chicot 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Curlin’s Voyage 0.80 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bearakontie 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Speedy Devil 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Winning Entry 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wolf Ridge 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Cash Dividend 3.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Precious Badge 2.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Fullthrottle Kid 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Seemee 4.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Frankie Barone 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Western Crusader 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Nestleton Hush 10.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Riverrun 12.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Money Matters 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Red Return 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Highriseinthepeg 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cryptic Grip 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Im No Saint 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Dry Land 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Dancers Ghost 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Dealmaker 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 I Dance Alone 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Baddest Blues 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Lion’s Goldenheart 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Show Me Your Spots 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Hungary 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Ten Carat Daddy 4.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Kilkenny Prospect 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Personal Journey 5.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Burning Man 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Tracking Gold 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Keep Your Word 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Golden Cloister 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 New Deal 8.00 3.4 7-1
10 9 Final Rhapsody 2.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Awesome Tiger 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Perfect Revenge 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Green Growth 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Daddyplaystheblues 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Breed’s Hill 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Disclosure 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Cadet Connelly 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Ghost Island 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Mine That Star 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chiricahua Signal 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Florida Won 2.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Who’s Got It 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Riker 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Immunity 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Guitar George 3.50 6.8 13-1
8 7 Strut N Stomp 20.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Gorgeous Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belle Mahone S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s the Berries 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Monte Crista 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lift Up 1.60 4 8-1
6 6 Lunar Garden 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 A. A. Azula’s Arch 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ladies Night 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent Jet 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Noble Hope 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Deep Freeze 1.60 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tale of Vienna 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 King Ottokar 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 That’s My Mission 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Gaultier (FR) 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sure Would Forest 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Fahrenheit 3.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Cardiff Hall 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 The Newfie Express 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lucky Street 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Polydeuces 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Secret Path 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Tall Water 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Dynamic Force 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Deputy of Egbert 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Torah’s Blessing 20.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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