September 8, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Notice Me | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Biondetti’s Choice | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Alkeline | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Calais Cove | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Falcon’s View | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Maximum Entropy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Mc Culley | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Mizuchi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Rebellion’s Dream | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Transfer Pricing | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Harmony Hall | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Mission Six | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Hedeman | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Dancing With Zorro | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Bayou Belle | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Bold Strike | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Lake Chicot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Curlin’s Voyage | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Bearakontie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Speedy Devil | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
7 | 7 | Winning Entry | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Wolf Ridge | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Cash Dividend | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Precious Badge | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Fullthrottle Kid | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Seemee | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
8 | 8 | Frankie Barone | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Western Crusader | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
9 | 9 | Nestleton Hush | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Riverrun | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Money Matters | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Red Return | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Highriseinthepeg | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Cryptic Grip | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Im No Saint | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Dry Land | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
10 | 10 | Dancers Ghost | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Dealmaker | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | I Dance Alone | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Baddest Blues | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Show Me Your Spots | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Hungary | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ten Carat Daddy | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
8 | 7 | Kilkenny Prospect | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | Personal Journey | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
5 | 4 | Burning Man | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tracking Gold | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Keep Your Word | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Golden Cloister | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 10 | New Deal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Final Rhapsody | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Awesome Tiger | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Perfect Revenge | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Green Growth | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Daddyplaystheblues | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Breed’s Hill | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Disclosure | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Cadet Connelly | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ghost Island | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Mine That Star | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Chiricahua Signal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Florida Won | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Who’s Got It | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Riker | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Immunity | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Guitar George | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
8 | 7 | Strut N Stomp | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gorgeous Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belle Mahone S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | She’s the Berries | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Monte Crista | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Lift Up | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Lunar Garden | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | A. A. Azula’s Arch | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Ladies Night | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Silent Jet | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Noble Hope | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Deep Freeze | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Tale of Vienna | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | King Ottokar | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | That’s My Mission | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Gaultier (FR) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Sure Would Forest | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Fahrenheit | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Cardiff Hall | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | The Newfie Express | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Lucky Street | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Polydeuces | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Secret Path | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
11 | 11 | Dynamic Force | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Deputy of Egbert | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.