September 8, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Qian B C | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Joke’s On You | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coolboy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worth a Shot | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hudson Overpass | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fusilli | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freudian Fate | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Movie Score | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incredible Miss | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Needs No Ice | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Dawn | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party in the Sand | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Mule | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Standup | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don Ciccio | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Home | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Fun | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oroscopo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Larceny | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camouflaged Kisser | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gypsum Johnny | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Javelin | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Ballantine | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regalian | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Tommy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Lane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Theitalianamerican | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Turbo Drive | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perpetrate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Portfolio Hedge | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Maxwell Esquire | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Brooks | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellarmine Hall | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Very Replaceable | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | Titan’s Will | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Built | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Drop of Bourbon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Matzo Bella | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Andarta | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beaux Arts | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Queendom | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Quietude | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sarahrini | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Birthday Gift | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Tradeable | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cat Lady Steph | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abilene Trail | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Dime | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fiftyshays Ofgreen | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maedean | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Beauty | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Marissa | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Pajamas | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Allied Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mucho | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Elektronic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Benny | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Neverland Rock (GB) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Achilles Warrior | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Readyforprimetime | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pulsate | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chilly in Charge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Releasethethunder | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Aristocratic | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Siding Spring | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Spear | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catch a Cab | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Less Than Perfect | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gosilently | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Playthatfunnymusic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Curlin Road | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | The Crocheron Kid | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tiz a Chance | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.