September 7, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Denmark | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Break and Enter | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Countryside Drive | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Uncle Drew | 2.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquer Him | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cerrado | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overbearing | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Moon Over Victoria | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Somersby | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judith Can | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold n’ Foxy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zyanza | 1.40 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Sails | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Want No Attitude | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Crossed | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conflation | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Timeskip | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Fate | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Affair | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Analyzer | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Follow My Lead | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flight Deck | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titochip | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pay for Peace | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Butilovesyababe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Sidney | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Howie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sent From Heaven | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Gizmo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mick the Conqueror | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Fever | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seattle Treasure | 3.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hythe | 10.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Piccadilly Beau | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wincredible Star | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Street Chopper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Fighter | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neepawa | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Split My Pants | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dragon Bay | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nipigon | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Sea (FR) | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artistico | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nature’s Fortune | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sararenda | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Eye | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wine Not Bourbon | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mac | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo Flash | 2.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Gizmo | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Obliviously | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Holyanna | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Street Zapper | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Belle Danseuse | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Close Image | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Modus Operandi | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Azalea | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cape Mist | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unlimited Resource | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Manitou | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bel Tempo | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piper’s Legacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vice Regent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dun Drum | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Victor’s Dynasty | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | North Battleford | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Causeway | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucas n’ Lori | 2.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seguimi | 3.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hungary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Mamba | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preferred Guest | 1.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Wedding | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moksgmol | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desdemona | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Broken Breeze | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Scribbles | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ami’s Link | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Londonderry | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Donnie Brasco | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Nardo | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Am Prepared | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Grey | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Champ | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Elite | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winsroy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Cause for Alarm | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Quality Brew | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Everglow | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Just Kitten You | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Just for Rose | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Matteo | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Charles Street | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Je Suis Charlie | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Madsam | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Allium | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Standing Reserve | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Abe Froman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sir Adidas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dave the Dude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.