September 7, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Captain Ron | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankie Apps | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unnamed Soldier | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Million Heir | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadcast Time | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Overdogs | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coniston | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colosal | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetest Boy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Nailed It | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forty’s Sweetheart | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rethinkme | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magalie | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuesday’s Rose | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Bobby | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Inca | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Money Come | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rattle’m | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Candy Max | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | El Zeus | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweepingthenation | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moochie Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Pink Rattler | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Areyoutalkingtome | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Philo | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graydar’s Resolve | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asked and Answered | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mason’s Song | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Ninja | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | America’s Simmard | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sidney’s Charisma | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Immaculate Heart | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Gem Apple | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looking for More | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Strength | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of V K | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Step Beat | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Lily | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flitabout | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Copingaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Salute the Colonel | 0.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goldenlion | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millionaire Runner | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marshall Eddy | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Pardon | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eye of a Jedi | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gran Causeway | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Mission | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congrats This | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Prince | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restart | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Step Slew | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Wade | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slammin’ Mike | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loose Note | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Notorious Nick | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frenchmen Street | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Kahuna | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Jaguar | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honolulu Express | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Famous Fact | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Seamus | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Sea | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Two Pops | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Didnt Do It | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pippas Poppy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Allurstra | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Michigan Sunset | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guess First | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Channeledbythewind | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Goldenlineof | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Will Runaway | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moon Pistol | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liberty Hill | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Buzz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – In The Breeze S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Una Luna | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bienville Street | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Alida | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lafta | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Gold | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Soiree | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonels Daughter | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strike My Fancy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sheer Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Embrace | 0.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Meshak | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bones | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Starlet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heiressall | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starcloud | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Mischief | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amaluna | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Song River | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Molly | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Domineer | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystical Charge | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Randiabby | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Like Indy | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gravel Gertie | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Sharyn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Norma’s Love | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.