September 7, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Atimely Touch | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ainsleys Rocket | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ubalon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jb Jess Cowgirls | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paint Your Jewels | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Fox | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streakn for Theprize | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dark Bark | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canselman | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Amigas | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aintnosugar Inmytank | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashin Tee Pie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | See Me Streakin Bye | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zoomingprincezydeco | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lundi Gras Dash | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jess a Stoli | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf High Flyin Dash | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Shaken the Blues | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Dashin for Johnny | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dash to Intrigue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wagon Ride | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Goin Undercover | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rf Sey What | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Katie Mae | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kiss My Six | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rdd Pure Sensations | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sail Away | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shine and Jump | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Streakin Cash | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chloes Take Over | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jf American Babe | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chic Is Da Ticket | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Grande Finale | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coronas Oceanfrnt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Yall Its a Train | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Timing Mann | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doctor Pol | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tlc Sinner | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jingle Bella | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loaded Dragon | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sergeant Sizzle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rbdtopprospect | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Logans Fast Rouge | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swamp Cartel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – De Saix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blueacrossyourmind | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jj Paint On Luck | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Sixy Piloto | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apolitical Xpression | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Couldabeen a Hero | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sizzlish | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zee Strike | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jf Cash Fantasy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Game Jess | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Black Hunter | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lakeview Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shesa Diamond Diva | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Cazador | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunna Be Alright | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tk Zoomaway | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Range Rover | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Packin a Punch | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Prize | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Corona Prize | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Fast Ram | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amending the Bar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – French Quarter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mia Jet In | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Adalida | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | First Game Chick | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shonuff Mvp | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fastdashing Lassie | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ajs Corona Chick | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jess Run Corona | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Amending the Bar | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Biscuit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shesa Diamond Diva | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mid-city S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightemupwithcharm | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Dashing Forthe Money | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Beyondthecos | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Its What It Is | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Eye Am Sizzlin | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jls Dash N Fire | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Fabulously Black | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Tdz Going Nuts | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Seven Point Three | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Lqhba Sale Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ed O | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sir Runaway Cash | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rebas Louisiana Blue | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brileys Prize | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Professional | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jess a Runaway Blaze | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Taylor Made Cartel | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jess a Cajun | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ms Diamond Prize | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hez Jess a Cartel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fast Prize Jessica | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dracarys | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Freight | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thf Mr Lincoln | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lrh Fast as Oak | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swamp Eagle | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Having Cash | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jesslouisianamoshine | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Boy Ace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisianablue Effort | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.