September 7, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Posterity | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donji | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Secret Secret | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Bob’s My Uncle | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We B Jammin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Inchesky (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Foldover | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blarp | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So Sublime | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stand Guard | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greek God | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreetly Placed | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Now We Are Free | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Leo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Holly’s Lady | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alin Azul | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centsless Drama | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Country Miss | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farcical | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Horizon | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rag Top | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Breanna | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rattle the Stars | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misdriven | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | There Goes My Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Cat Gee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | Busster Von Trappe | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Live Fast Brown | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Firing Licks | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiepolo (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Know What Im Sayin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hondo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Galactic Slam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Boppin Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Polygram | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Necked | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleetfootmac | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Showmeister | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devastating Move | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perp | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Red Wagon | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Prevailing Party | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Radar | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Aja Brown | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Talkless Smilemore | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Echale Salsita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Digital Diva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cosita Rica | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Wicked Fun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jermyn Street | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Meddybemps | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | A Rose for Lizzy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Equus Novus | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brushed by Fire | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slim | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Honor No Deal | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arnina | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sambook | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerus Hearted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.