September 7, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash Offer | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Heist | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of Tosconova | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bustin Scones | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lem Me Have It | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pas de Deuce | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aquariva | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cape Cod Diva | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kathy’s Cause | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crater Rim | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mz Seb Pat | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beans N Rice | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Youth Gone Wild | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abby Normal | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seattle Frost | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plimsoll Anny | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aris Gal Suz | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Happy Farm | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Data Driven | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Belt | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Distortion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seethisquick | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Gold | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Azzedine (FR) | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On a Spree | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Gem | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highway Flyer | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montatham | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Hara (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alpha Sixty Six | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Democratic Values | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hemlock | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unprecedented | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sagamore Mischief | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Caps | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of American | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Odramark | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pecan Pattie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Dixie Twister | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proportionality | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teletype | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiple (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Tina | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Halladay | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quarky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mango M | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The J Y | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Cause | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lonhtwist | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tikhvin Flew | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Rule | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T Loves a Fight | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Grand Prix American Jockey Club Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You’re to Blame | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Marconi | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rocketry | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Realm | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roaming Union | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Carlino | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maraud | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Highland Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Art of Almost | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Ride | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Pursuit | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edisa | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dyna Passer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonderment (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love So Deep (JPN) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Digital Age (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Thread of Blue | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Henley’s Joy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tone Broke | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Current | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kadar | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Mission | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Huberto (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pedro Cara (FR) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Chills | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Legion Storm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Adversary | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Lorcan | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Sip | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ridolfo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Division | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clonedsimmard | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.