September 6, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Awesome Alessandra | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Phoenix Tears | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Screen Gossip | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Billy’sgotasingle | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Bode’s Best | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Kenyetta | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Ipray | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Kennedie Sky | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Party Hostess | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Topaz Time | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Indypendent Deputy | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Never Think Twice | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Heraclitus | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Mountain View | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Carpe Noctem | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
6 | 5 | Warren’s Van Gogh | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
2 | 2 | Vastly Deep | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Yha Yha | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Short of Ez | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Young Hendrick | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | J T’s A. T. M. | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Policy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Clem Labine | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Dodger | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Mo Hawk | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Moon Mischief | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Enemy Runner | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Prince Magician | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Zees Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ridgefield Rocket | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | B S Cyclotron | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Tiz Love | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Love Your Life | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gutsy Ruler | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Boy Howdy | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Ps Bettin On You | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | McKale | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Seven Scents | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Blackout (FR) | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Spokane Eagle | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Koa | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Sokudo | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | An Ocala Ten | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Nova | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | It’s Just Bob | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Kenny Benny | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Royal Seeker | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Rocky’s Show | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.