September 6, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cold Sweat | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roof Top Bar | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Benny Havens | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Sky Painter | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Frank’s Way | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Kater | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laddie Liam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | It’s Pazible | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Love’s Legend | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waiting for a Star | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nevisian Sunset | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Vixen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who U Gonna Call | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Go Baby | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie Boo Boo | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Janelle Dreams | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forty Acres | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Not Curly | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Totally Unexpected | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sound Off | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broad Expanse | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Port Louis | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kopper Wired | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Onarock | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Factor | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Partisan Divide | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Worries Mate | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Road to Oz | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | To Be Or Not to Be | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Flora | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meldon | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mead Avenue | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Subdued | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | McLean House | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hello Beautiful | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Sadie | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Still Alive | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Giant | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanna’s Gray | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Got Blues (FR) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Sea Smoke | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Kind | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Are Family | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Bride | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Popeye’s Oyl | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mean Mary | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunting Season | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hay Boy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon and Ice | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Meatball | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bucked Tooth | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Railmaster | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McClure | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Man | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nico Bree N Teej | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stroll Smokin | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Cat | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seven On the Rocks | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trifor Gold | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thatwouldbegrand | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Street Prayer | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Sky Magician | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Padrino’s Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Odds On | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pepper | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8A | 8 | More Or Less | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Summer | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amarin | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Midship Lady | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Palace Check | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Miss Susie | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giggle Factory | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factorintheheat | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Kiss | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rosie Summer | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.