September 6, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Disney | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny’s Rainbow | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Made to Fit | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle N Away | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tims Hope | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Do Guess Again | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokey Row Mac | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Donnels Creek | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Highway | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cave Run | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thirsty Betrayal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enzoexpress | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creme de Cerise | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Early Mischief | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ludington | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kholstomer | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louie’s Kingdom | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Medium | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ronamo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Muscle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Legacy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Once a Thief | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Kahn | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Galahad Kid | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Collier Creek | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Portico | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Masamune | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Command | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Hero | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unite the Masses | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | V Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Enjoy the Journey | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Old Fort | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonline | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off to the Beach | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Edge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musket Hunter | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Executive Bonus | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antrim’s Giant | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pont Du Gard | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trumpi | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Fiddle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remembermis | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud to Ground | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Angelino | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Valentine | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fall Moon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jazz Channel | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fate Factor | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Cora | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Day | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Millie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brilliant Patina | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tommytoshort | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marvelous Sky | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Readthecliffnotes | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The First Hero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Fort Ramsey | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McLance | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saturdays Hangover | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lethal Levy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.