September 5, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Blue Blue Ice | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Three Socks One | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aurea Aura | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cousin Newyork Fay | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Cotton Candy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Februarysexclusive | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Second Illusion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jupi’s Lightning | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fayez | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Look Back | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St Joe Viper | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Power Punch | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thunder Show | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day Link | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Britesideoftheroad | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drama in the Rain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zao’s Dreams | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fantastic Kingdom | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oblio’s Wish | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Labhay (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dudicious | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Rosy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grey Manners | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Charlie the Greek | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Boy Bruno | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dizzy Gillespie | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Summer Spice | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr Chaplin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sky Point | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock You | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Music City Wolf | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vickythebest | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Nole | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chillin Lady | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rack Daddy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hear My Prayer | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Gardner | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Blue | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kozy Kat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Judys Tappin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lulaby of Broadway | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savannah Grass | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snake Eyed Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Introspective | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Star | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gambla | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Stance | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Justice | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Awsum Roar | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gran Letizia | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Maiara | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Freckles Kan | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beach Dreaming | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Two | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitaemi | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Little Princess | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Witch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Nothins Free | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rethinkme | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salsa Rita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Prerogative | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midtown Rose | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sarasota Star | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Select Friday | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fontanazza | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Atka | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J P’s Delight | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Abjure | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chaos Rising | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intricately | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizar Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Lucky | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boastful Contessa | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dancingwithjimmieb | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cultural Mandate | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Andrea’s Worry | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Angel | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kylesnorthernstar | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.