September 1, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dolly Dagger | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Victorian Lass | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bella Nina | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spring Forward | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ready’s Princess | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freshieintheforest | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Brie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zindigo | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Masquerade | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Seal | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carolina Grace | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Round’s Mine | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asha Ironborn | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Gauge | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beau’s Beauty | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Planet | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Riot | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peggy’s Cove | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jupiter’s Eagle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glittering Snow | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Joy’s Solution | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maritime Breeze | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Finest | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strikingly Lovely | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vespolina | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Choose Hope | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get Off My Tail | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Cat | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worlds Apart | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samarian | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Bar | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Painting | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forestella | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fresh Dreams | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonstone | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamble’s Candy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boogie With Me | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Tillie | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tallulah Darling | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shakari | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egyptian Nights | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Sugar Shack | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | French Charm | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disappearing Act | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roman d’Oro | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackie Milton | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vana Grand | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Shadows | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itskathiesluckyday | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fashion Fortune | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Castle | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Lass | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Betwixting | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vesperanza | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Mrs. G | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roche’s Point | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Queen’s Court | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sans Doubte | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Drink of Water | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Powell | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Olympic Runner | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Wonder | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Success | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Boss Factor | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crawl From the Bar | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pemaquid Pete | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sparkle Sammy | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Without a Doubt | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Savvy | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Gal Betty | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stop Who’s That | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Island Reward | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – La Lorgnette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Winandyourin Gin | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power Gal (JPN) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Script | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wings of Dawn | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Feve (FR) | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Escape | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Me | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Gold Lace | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yum Yum | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cobra Sophie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giovanna Ponti | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hockey Hair | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Have Feelings | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Honeypotts | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Glib Marylin | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlet Bow | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheztenthehardway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Annie O’Schiller | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pulled the Goalie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.