August 31, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shez Stuck Up | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Release the Heat | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m That Bird | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bella Linda | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Melodic Maven | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Poseidon’s Passion | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ashleysdream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One Way Home | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Can Tour | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Chief | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Mighty Man | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin El Prado | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Run | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Abubu | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Hero of Gold | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Authentic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Speed to Victory | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rare Action Attack | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foo Foo Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Empire | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R Marie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Livys Dream | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Imanamazingqt | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trophy Doll (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Rising | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sky Freak | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | On My Toes | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tasseography | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gwendalyn Sue | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carissa Crismas | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lethal Leanne | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tannah’blu | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chlobee | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lizz a Bee | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lena Horne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Detour | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Touch | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tupelo Hon E | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Its a Ford | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flower House | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bird Key | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daring | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Singanothersong | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wake Up Joe | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Dann Good | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strike Quiet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Mensch | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bootleggin | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kyzan | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Fun | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Savie | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bella Bella | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Superstar Diva | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luna Fortis | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Peace Love Bread | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cassidy Ave | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Americanperfection | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hat Tip | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cholla | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maid for Mischief | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quality too Spare | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Field Daisey | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stopshoppingamy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Marie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Love to Race | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snake N Shake | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reenie D | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cins Boss | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.