August 30, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Luna’s in Charge | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Financialstability | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freaky Styley | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Boar | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Plus Seven | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Now | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Appointment | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dutchmen Forever | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peter’s Project | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Rhythm | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Okie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neighborhood Bully | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kahramani | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River of Dreams | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Skies Forever | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Grin | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild William | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wisecrack | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Ramp | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danzante | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exchange Fever | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centrist | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Token | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yousaidhello | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Browning | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Capt. Courageous | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zelenka | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fusilli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Later Cat | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Rock | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vici | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Earned Success | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz He the One | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderful Light | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth B | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Passage | 1.40 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch of Troy | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cartabianca (FR) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bramble Queen | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tanya’s Gem | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wish Upon | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tearless | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Kayla | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daria’s Angel | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shandian | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Father’s Eyes | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freewheeler | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | True Grace | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | First Deputy | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Box of Rain | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dante’s Fire | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperio D | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brickyard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Portfolio Hedge | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady’s Golden Guy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dangerous Edge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hallajoori | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snaffle | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Remain Anonymous | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drop a Hint | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Sixth Street | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kemba | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leaveuwithasmile | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kansas Kis | 15.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Share Your Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Along the Way | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Maedean | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Chiclet’s Dream | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noble Jewel | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hit a Provisional | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | A Little Faith | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Niko’s Dream | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | She’s Dreamin | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Citizen Matzo | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Barrel of Destiny | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heartstrings | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nasty Affair | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cathy Naz | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leitone (CHI) | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frammento | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zulu | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Aura | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Tour de Force | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mills | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shalako | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Candy Promises | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Lucky Coin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Disco Partner | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Strike Power | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Final Frontier | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Shekky Shebaz | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Square Shooter | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fig Jelly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fixed Point | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mustaaqeem (AUS) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lonhtwist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Flush | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Short Pour | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Questeq | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Awesome Alana | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Star of the East | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Louisiana Lady | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tropical Frosty | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My First Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tempers Way | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Not About the Nail | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Aquariva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bustin Scones | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.