August 28, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Of Good Report | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Creep | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Juggles | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tikkun Olam | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Clem | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grab the Munny | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Insider | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Toffee | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Diva | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Ice | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buttie | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Check Six | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love of Art (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alta Ky | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unapologetic | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Buzz | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morse Code | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red King | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hardboot | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Magico | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Master (FR) | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Empire | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Smiling to Excess | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Way too Sweet | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Calese | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fire Diamonds | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Phoenix Tears | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arouse N Go | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | It’s a Riddle | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Slew’s Screen Star | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chieftess | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Balabusta | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bode’s Best | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Coil and Strike | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Queen of the Track | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaccat | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Hope (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Factor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Gucci | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dunbow Road | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Lady Ann | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coilette | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | And Counting | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Champagne Honey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flying to the Line | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Palace Prince | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Express Train | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Dean Martini | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Shooters Shoot | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Witch’s Vow | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Can’tbetemall | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delp | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flash of Promise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Include the Tax | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Railsplitter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Generous Portion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bulletproof One | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Shirlee | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unchain Her Heart | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cholula Lips | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Been Studying Her | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Rachel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vegan | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roses for Laura | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I Want One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tandalicious | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Darpa | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sidepocket Charger | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Dolfina | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girls Got Track | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Minx | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trapani | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Girl | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Probable | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redhotnreadytowed | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Writing in the Sky | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rolinga | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ramoncita Light | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Thought I’dmissyou | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.