August 25, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Whisper | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Foreign Exchange | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sea of Blue | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Highland Glory | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stop Shoppin Tammy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Wedontbelieveher | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strike Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Mylastfirstkiss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tench | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ahead of Plan | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Money | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Readyforprimetime | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Humor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vehement | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oroscopo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Humor | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | No Mans Land | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tide of the Sea | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carom | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Proquestor | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krewe Chief | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catcho En Die (ARG) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Excess Capacity | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ragtime Suzy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queendom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dovey Lovey | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Speed | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wisconsin Night | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Violent Times | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Originator | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enthusiastic Gal | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Really Proud | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posse Needed | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye On Berlin | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mystique | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leah’s Dream | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lezendary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lord Simba | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sir Ballantine | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Love That Jazz | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Scarf It Down | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Indian Guide | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noneedtoflatterme | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul P Say | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pretentious | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gypsum Johnny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Yellen | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Down Dare | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman City | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speed Talks | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Larry’s Baby | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | More Or Less | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Crack of Dawn | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Maker | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eli Rocks | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Amber | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lolita Express | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Darken a Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blessingsofliberty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Las Ramblas | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Better Talk Now S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bulletin | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Front Run the Fed | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Braintrust | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon War | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regally Irish | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swamp Rat | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Performer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Achilles Warrior | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Extrordinary Jerry | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapit Wise | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And Seek | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meet Me in L A | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Gotcha | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fireball Shot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Felix in Fabula | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Gisel | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Augusta Moon | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Countenance | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Into Glamour | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Art Thief | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Going to Temple | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Trish’s Dream (GB) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ask Siri | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trans Mississippi | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Secret Alchemy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Pleasantly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cairo Cutie | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Margie Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.