Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 25, 2019

August 25, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wicked Whisper 1.60 4 8-1
6 4 Foreign Exchange 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Sea of Blue 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Highland Glory 3.50 5 9-1
7 5 Stop Shoppin Tammy 8.00 5.3 10-1
8A 6 Wedontbelieveher 10.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Strike Magic 6.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Mylastfirstkiss 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tench 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Ahead of Plan 1.60 3.4 6-1
3 3 Real Money 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Readyforprimetime 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Point of Humor 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Vehement 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Oroscopo 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 English Humor 15.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 No Mans Land 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 2 Tide of the Sea 1.60 3.8 7-1
1 1 Carom 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Proquestor 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Krewe Chief 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Catcho En Die (ARG) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Excess Capacity 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Ragtime Suzy 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Queendom 8.00 5 9-1
8 7 Solitary Gem 4.50 5.6 10-1
2 2 Dovey Lovey 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Ramblin’ Ma’am 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Dazzling Speed 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Wisconsin Night 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Violent Times 2.50 4.7 9-1
8 6 Originator 2.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Enthusiastic Gal 4.50 5.6 11-1
9 7 Really Proud 4.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Posse Needed 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Eye On Berlin 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Miss Mystique 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Leah’s Dream 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Lezendary 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lord Simba 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Sir Ballantine 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 Love That Jazz 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 Scarf It Down 3.50 6.1 12-1
9 7 Indian Guide 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Noneedtoflatterme 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Soul P Say 10.00 8.4 16-1
6 4 Pretentious 15.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Professor Snape 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gypsum Johnny 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Yellen 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Double Down Dare 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Roman City 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Speed Talks 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Larry’s Baby 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 9 More Or Less 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 10 Crack of Dawn 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bow Maker 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Eli Rocks 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Wicked Amber 20.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Lolita Express 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Darken a Day 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Blessingsofliberty 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Las Ramblas 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Better Talk Now S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Bulletin 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Front Run the Fed 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Our Braintrust 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bourbon War 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 5 Regally Irish 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Swamp Rat 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Performer 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Achilles Warrior 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Extrordinary Jerry 3.00 3 6-1
7 6 Tapit Wise 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 And Seek 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Meet Me in L A 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mo Gotcha 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Fireball Shot 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Felix in Fabula 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sweet Gisel 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Augusta Moon 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Countenance 4.00 4.5 9-1
12 10 Into Glamour 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Art Thief 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Going to Temple 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Lady Trish’s Dream (GB) 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 9 Ask Siri 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Trans Mississippi 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Secret Alchemy 20.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Flying Pleasantly 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cairo Cutie 1.60 SCRATCH
13 13 Margie Music 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.