August 25, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Call You Tomorrow | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Gronk | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emtech | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thin Line | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jen Go Unchained | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Concord Jet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Whoa Nessie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sweet Connie Girl | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cash for Cass | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zillinda | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conformation | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Barbie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Divine Dharma | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | S Y Sky | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Painting Corners | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kentan Road | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fahan Mura | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Poster Girl (GB) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gliding By | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | You’reright Again | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Side Street Dave | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Blue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seesawsam | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Govenor Cinch | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Chapin | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Boy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Golden Victory | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Up Time | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Boat | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Totally Tiger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Baltimore Beecho | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hot Socks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Deuce | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Spirit | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duchamp | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goldie’s Hills | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lincoln City | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Soldier Boy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joeys Ace | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torosay | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiger Strike | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tyrannical Rex | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stable Genius | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Longest Night | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lord Adare | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Truck Salesman | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Spend Spend Spend | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tijori | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Day by Day | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stirred | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Rather Nosy | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chasin Lucas | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mongolian Humor | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hergame (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Message | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lil Milo | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Castle | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop the Violence | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hardcore Troubador | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Factorial | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | General Interest | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Psycho Dar | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildman Jack | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caray | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musawaat (GB) | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eskimo Roses | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Restless Rambler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Shared Belief S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Jack | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable | 1.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Class | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lieutenant Dan | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Scents | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stubbins | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Objective | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sapori Girl | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Coldwater | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Melody | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunriser | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Figura (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bellize | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Lady | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prance | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | So Much Happy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willowglade | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Smile | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flying Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zucchera | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.