August 24, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Striking Moon | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Watson | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bazoo | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Town | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highriseinthepeg | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Dance | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chiricahua Signal | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Slew | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jacks Escarpment | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kapellmeister | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Young Lord | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drink in My Hand | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Anthony | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marten Lake | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollow Point | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Little Man | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salieri | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Brother | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire On Fire | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forest At Dawn | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai Queen | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roansmoke | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Pearl | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coolwater | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lillz So Precious | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nana’s Girl | 6.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cassie’s Rainbow | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kay Syrah Syrah | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Charm | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gun Society | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Second Grace | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cee’s Overture | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runway Dreamer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Joy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lea Ro | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Anita Grigio | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cedar Valley | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cefalo | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Society | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harpswell | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gizmo Flash | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doodle Dandy | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kissy Bear | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golden Lotus | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hold the Applause | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bold Rally | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Creek | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Redoute’s Light | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pleasant Forest | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Classic | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Dividend | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sine Metu | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of York | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zephan | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Nero | 12.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amalfi Coast | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Seeker | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rince Tapaigh | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twitter Storm | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monsoon Rain | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Wonder | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Rain | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bel Tempo | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Mesa | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Play The King S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silent Poet | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sable Island | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Tormenta | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Honor | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Admiralty Pier | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmenootz | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Snippy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love Daddy | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power House | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Orbinary | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happycrest | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make No Mistake | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Citizen | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanchy | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mintaka Belle | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Goldmine Glory | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Systemic Risk | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Garter | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Monastery Lane | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Awesome Flight | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mazikeen | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Weed Be Happy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arami’s Flatter | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Star Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sister Grace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.