August 24, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Frontier Market | 0.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lemonist | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Unleveraged | 0.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Aveenu Malcainu | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Gemonteer | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Penalty | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Memories of Peter | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1X | 13 | Identity Politics | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Own Agenda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Frammento | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Majestic Affair | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Achilles Warrior | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap It to Win | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Complexifier | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atoka | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O’Trouble | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Now | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Onward | 3.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Icecap | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | African Heritage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Charreada | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Balon Rose | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | First Wave | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ocean Fire | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dabinett | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Confessing | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bossy Bride | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sara Sea | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madame Orbe | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New York Charmer | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Flowers | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Magical Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Payne | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Off the Record | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sicilia Mike | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shamrocked | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Puttheglassdown | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Proschema | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Rule | 50.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Performer | 2.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark N Cloudy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tight Ten | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Forego S. Presented By Encore Boston Harbor
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promises Fulfilled | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mitole | 0.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Air Strike | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Raison | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firenze Fire | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ketel One Ballerina S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Come Dancing | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Separationofpowers | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dawn the Destroyer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mia Mischief | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Relativity | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pacific Gale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Minit to Stardom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S. Presented By Runhappy
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shancelot | 0.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rowayton | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hog Creek Hustle | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borracho | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mind Control | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nitrous | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Paul | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelfth Labour | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Big S | 50.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indian Blessing (GB) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Jubilee | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Five | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Significant Form | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hogans Holiday | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Message | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scottish Jig | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mascha (FR) | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Hardcandy | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Personal Ensign S. Presented By Lia Infiniti
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bisou | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wow Cat (CHI) | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elate | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Award | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Julie | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Rocks | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sword Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Annals of Time | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Channel Maker | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Thought | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proven Reserves | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ya Primo (CHI) | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Channel Cat | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sadler’s Joy | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Morning | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Runhappy Travers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Gusto | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owendale | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tacitus | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Looking At Bikinis | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highest Honors | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Code of Honor | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Endorsed | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tax | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everfast | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scars Are Cool | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chess Chief | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laughing Fox | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Dowse’s Beach | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Discretionary Marq | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fled | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Royal Asset | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiraz | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ghost Giant | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Durkin’s Call | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ethan Hunt | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Bunt | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alien Season | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Show Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Light the Posse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Banana Thief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Colonel Tom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sudden Surprise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Razeena | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | So Gracious | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Facts | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keepme in Thegame | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Five Alarm Robin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aymara | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Star | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kelleycanrun | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pat Pat Pat | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiltingatwindmills | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Macabre | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To a Friend | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cairo Cutie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Quasar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.