August 24, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Jess Ah Brother | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Jess Louisiana Tee | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Fortune for Moma | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Ldn Dalaw Is Salty | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Slizzlin Steele | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Whatafastdashinggirl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Itsaselfishgame | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Katbird | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Katie Mae | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tdz Louisianas Wave | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rmc Ya Dash | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dashin Swinger | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Red Lexus | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chick Lips | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Brioni | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ttt Precious Memory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Madam Secretary B | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Myoceanmemory | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rigsby | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lottacash and Corona | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Ina Flash Aw | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tdz Shesagamechanger | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dash by Junior | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allyejay | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highclere Chick | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Easy Little Game | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Struttin First | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jp Brimm Carrel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juanitas Last Prize | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wordly Dash | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Rock N Rogue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ajs Wild N Fast | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Julie Five Bar | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tuckers Prize | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Piloto Shiner | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fit for First | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eye Heart Blue | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vfgo Max Go | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alota Bad Habits | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miraculous Miranda | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ajs Corona Chick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | That Is Spot On | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mauvais Boj | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Romantic Hispanic | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tf I Am Special | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Fox | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jess Courage | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kellies Strong Hope | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goin Undercover | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Winner | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buy Jordina | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Lolo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Achieve the Flight | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dash N Cuervo | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Estelle Cartel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Furys Jet | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Dash Streakin | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tg Knight | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Painted Train | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fantasys Riot | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ms Zapata Special | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rf Miss Dashin Duck | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coronas Opening Dash | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jump Brenda | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jeryls Fast | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tm I Think I Can | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flowjoe | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blondies Leaving You | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jrs Fantasy Princess | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Oceanfrnt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Faubourg St. John S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Dressblues | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desire Astoli | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kw Cowboy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jw Losin Control | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dwaynes First Perry | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fdd Aufluential | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agoutis Snowplow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broken Hearted | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Blue Game | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempting Money | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perry Train | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Stray Cat Aw | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Gray Eagle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Look Whos Shaken | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aireyfoose | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Azabache | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make It Take It | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jp Leaving Good | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Notch | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rr Golo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Karmas Runaway | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hqh Runaway Magic | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Having Cash | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thf Mr Lincoln | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windy Bae | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brays French Toast | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Affair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.