August 23, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ettas Lil Jet | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Escandalo | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Coronalene | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jettin Miss Dee | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apollitical B Strong | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stand for the Flag | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gp Won Special Cooki | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Forthe Money | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cartel Majic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shut Up and Fish | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Point Three | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mda Game | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ellepradas Jumbo Jet | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watch My Booty | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game On Vince | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lrh Black Dog | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tres Palacios | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Provocatives Dashin | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racing Kane | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jrs Runaway Ego | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ldn Jessasaltydog | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Already Platinum | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buds World | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Raineys Game | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We Gota Jewel | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotsnblue | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorgeous Leon | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Dance Pilot | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rawhide Piloto | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oh Kee Jess | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fast Lady Rocks | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pm Zuppardo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tf Lil Black Runaway | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Rare Stoli | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tm Candy Crusher | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prove a Point | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rakin Somekinda Cash | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foxtrot Oscar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Dashing Coors | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Speed Fantasy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ohthreefiftyone | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panther On the Beach | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strike a Bye Bye | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paint My Train | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jj Filly Er Perry | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shine and Jump | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rkm Five Bar Gamer | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKinleys Grace | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geaux Jo Go | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Az Fast Dash | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Memory | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Stoli Panther | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Black 214 | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bang Bang Hot | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Political Pickle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Eyes Plain Strutn | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoom Royally | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklynns Finest | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coronas Runawaywagon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Man He Fresh | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rh Mandys First Moon | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kings Extreme Queen | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Mightey Mouse | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingzridge | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Msg Make Us Proud | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sheza Blue Fireball | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leap Year Kash | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coronas Magic Rose | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stolis Achievements | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Jolla Fast Cash | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rakin in the Jewels | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hqh Runaway Dash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fdd Abcallie Grand | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apollitical Heir | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Neon | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coronastripleking | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly the Eagle | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juanells Fireball | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheza Foose Chick | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovin a Rayne Knight | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jf Cash Fantasy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gbh Train | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tlc Jumpin Gidget | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Msm Another Patriot | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Triniti | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes So Valiant | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perry Patriotic | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lynn Loves Blue | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jnj Coronas Paint | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brileys Patriot | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Games Famous | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.