August 23, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mutineer | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harliss | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Norski | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Five | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike That | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ziyanair | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Archana | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dakota Ready | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ebb and Flow | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lucky Brite Eye | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Harper’s Gallop | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Info’s Treasure | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Avalon Ride | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curryforthree Bang | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Etching | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cat’s Desire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dom the Bomb | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eric the Trojan | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Portando | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buckys Pick | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gutsy Ruler | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artie B Good | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Italiano | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Born | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Comedy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Heights | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unbridled’s Skye | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Restless Rambler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Tsunami | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dr Wysong | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boujie Girl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pride’s Gold | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Spiral Jetter | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Master | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fool’s Paradise | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Dance | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Star | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Truffles | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Catoca | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Necklace | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nothing But Heat | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Y Not Sizzle | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Hot for Curlin | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Romance | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ancona | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Court | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Si Mamacita | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goddess Aphrodite | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Tranquility Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yuvetsi | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Suebee | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zusha | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vibrance | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaydetre | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Smidge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Phast Pharoah | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soccer Dad | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Chance | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rip City | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strongconstitution | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bedrock | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magically Honored | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party Town | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unstoppable Guy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready for a Fight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.