August 21, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Warren’s Showtime | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Warrior’s Moon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nocherylikemychery | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sassyserb | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bayonce | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Very Boisterous | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Circleofcolor | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Going to Shabooms | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nina En Fuego | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lakaya | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whirling | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Pleasure | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fracas | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cimarron | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | All Tea All Shade | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atina (ARG) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Square | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wakes Up Happy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nu Pi Lambda | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mind Out | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Thunder | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scoot the Moon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Totally Normal | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lace | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Melodie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Establish Justice | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eclair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Greg’s Diva | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gate Speed | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go for a Ride | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commanding Chief | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Still in the Game | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Pursuit | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean (AUS) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Potantico | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Hero | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fabozzi | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Murad Khan (FR) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unusually Green | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buckstopper Kit | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Terrys Tom Cat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Very Very Stella | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caymans Cobra | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eldritch (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Harry F. Brubaker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Dorr | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isotherm | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leading Score | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line Judge | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Thirty Five | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lombo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prodigal Son | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hartel | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Wire | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boa Nova (IRE) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Order and Law | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Pierce | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capture the Sea | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oil Can Knight | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Devils Dance | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Impossible Task | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Howbeit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railsplitter | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bamboozler | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nucky | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Ricky | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Octopus | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Final | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carpe Noctem | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bean and the Bug | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Champers | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.