August 18, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Graceygab | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Variance | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Molly’s Dolly | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keepupthemessage | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetbriar | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iza One | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Do I Ever | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Got Sugar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irish Fix | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marie From Parie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caterina One | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creedibility | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flirtation Walk | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh So Lovely | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missimard | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Sonata | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Castle Ridge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emma’sdiamonddiva | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Pic | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Leona | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grecian Dancer | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dear Charlotte | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letmeslidebyyou | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Postino’s Secret | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nico Bree N Teej | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absolved | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustoff | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tom Hagen | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legend’s Hope | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earned It | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stroll Smokin | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Flies By | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geyser | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabinet Pik | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand River | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vineyard | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Railmaster | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onemoregreattime | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Data | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love You Much | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrap Copper | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factor It In | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jarvis Steel | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coop Tries Harder | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tempt Me Twice | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shane’s Jewel | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Uplifting | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Nottoway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Boots | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Amigo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fernwood Drive | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start With Yes | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Oberon | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Destruction | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fincastle | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C C Old Fashioned | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ziggy Mon | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McPherson | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zitarrosa | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Artist | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Intention | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unequivocal | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Benevolent Prince | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homeofthe Lombardi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jumping Michelle | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hendaya | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pantyhose | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Two Three Go | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Out | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polished Gal | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.