August 17, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rebas Louisiana Blue | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash of Light | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brileys Prize | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess a Runaway Blaze | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isnt He Hot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ho Lotta Pazzazz | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lsu Special | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Toasted Runaway | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jess a Cajun | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ed O | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Politico | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Freight | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Bad Hombre | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Magic Runaway | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Blue | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dashin Undercover | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jesslouisianamoshine | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hqh Platinum Fire | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Couldabeen a Hero | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Make Mine Separate | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ld Big John Leaving | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sail Away | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salt Train Coming | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adored Runaway | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sneaking Suspicion | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drink Up Edna | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tdz Sir Sash | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Professional | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leavin You Blue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Diamond Prize | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss My Six | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hez Jess a Cartel | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ds Five Bar Memory | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taylor Made Cartel | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girlsingtheblues | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Tdz Jet Black Down | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Redwhiteandblue | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maggies Runaway | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Politically Blue | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | L a Sugar Shack | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ajs Victory Beers | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rl First Homerun | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Original Martini | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pk Heza Blazen Rogue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | A True Patriot | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man On the Beach | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Runaway Cash | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tim the Tax Man | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allways Ready | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Piloto Gee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fancy Corona | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Sang the Blues | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jaymison | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Jets | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shes a Cartel | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rf Debs Patriot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Quick First | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Patriot On Ice | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corona Crazy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Win a Lota | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Thorns | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Sundee | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Frosted | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jls Shezafastwagon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Sixy Piloto | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blueacrossyourmind | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana G Eye | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flint River Vodka | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Some Quick Politic | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annas Martigras | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Black Bear | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eves Fast Rogue | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One for the Legend | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savannashighestfire | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Second Down | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Train of Diamonds | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Baby Freighttrain | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rh Jess Momo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Budman | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jrs Coronas Gatorgal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mama Caught Da Train | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rogues First Candy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Moon Risen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Tempted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jla Getsum | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yall Its a Train | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Away Cache | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Dorado Stone | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fury of Corona | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Timing Mann | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firefighter Captian | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Streakin Cash | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rdd Pure Sensations | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Really a Doll | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Love the Way You Fly | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barnett Cartel | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Me Some Cuervo | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swamp Cartel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steam Rollyr | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bam Bam High On Fire | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pollitically Correct | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hezaa Fast Boy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Struttin Free | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louisianablue Effort | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.