August 16, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | True Heiress | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Got Glee | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Learn Story (DOM) | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deer Island Diva | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gossip Isle | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Mystofales | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Legacy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gucciguccigirl | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Country Strong | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Assume Control | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poesia | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Its Factual | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trini Pleasure | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respondingtoglobal | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mertz | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noncents | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumb Bun | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jessica | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valley Girl | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sebastiana | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Notorious Nick | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Souper Jaguar | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scraps | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blasphemy | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crown to the Gold | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chief White Sox | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Seamus | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luis Two Guns | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Transistor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Squeezadios | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starship Apollo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Boy Bruno | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Starship Aramis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Slingin Sammy B | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sauce On Side | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myfrancesca | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maddy’s Salsa | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mariu | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peggity | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Si Te Vas | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kindhearted Kota | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bluesky Kitten | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheldor | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnnythetireman | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Congrats This | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arch Star | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knockabout | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jost Do It | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant’s Willow | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loose Note | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Katniss Kan | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Isle | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mohanna Queen | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Se Vende | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Italy Red | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Two Step | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shenu Shenume | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windy County | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Picara | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raven’s Lady (GB) | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Ballad | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beechwood Ella (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oola Gal | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Gold | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Helping Lisa D | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Soiree | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chilled Milk | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zarina | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flora Fantasy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rock You | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eights and Aces | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zalza | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quenane | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To Dare | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Hawk | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Tree | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Spice | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | R Lovely Julz | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Surprise Factor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mister Noisi | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bolt | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strength of Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Maserati Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deo Forte | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Purecrazidude | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danzo | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Go Time | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Resort | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Indy Ride | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yei Yei | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.