August 15, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frozen Hannah | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Audrey | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bareeqa | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Praise | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Victoria | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Love | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Puparee | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | British Idiom | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t None Lucky | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tetrahydro | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miraculousblessing | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Talk You Out of It | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Esther’s Fortune | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surprise Arrival | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Marissa | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Farina | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speed Talks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Raggedy Annie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brooklyn Heights | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No Dozing | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncontested | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plainsman | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lenstar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Silence | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Mr Thrifty | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Relentless Dancer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Lancelot | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Croi Mor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aye Aye Sir | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pharoah Cat | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Art Collector | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Buy Land and See | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Katama Bay | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Danza | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Proven Strategies | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Now Is | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Get Set | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Instinctive Rhythm | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sneakiness | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teachable Moment | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Borough Boy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cobble Hill | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swick | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Jon | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monmouth Dr | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic West | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cavaradossi | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dealin’ Stelen | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Muntahez | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Dull Knife | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Zone | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Colonel | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Amanjena | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phone Funky Munky | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | False Info | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Days of Glory | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Southern Brigade | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Time Expired | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Bet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Hollywood Cat | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andarta | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Beaux Arts | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Silencia | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cirque | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Birthday Gift | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tzipi | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My First Gal | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11A | 9 | Andretta | 3.50 | 19.7 | 37-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trouble for Skylar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saloon Girl | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cash Offer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Cathy Naz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Union Avenue S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Disguise | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fair Regis | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carrera Cat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Boss | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Bianca | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pauseforthecause | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flat Calm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Crescent Lady | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerry’s Ring | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Cod Diva | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Beauty | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petalite | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Happiness | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Belleza | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandra’s Mine | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Cent Tootsie | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marquet Legacy | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Slippers | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mickey Diamond | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tax Me Naught | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Paradiso | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tatterazzi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nasty Affair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.