Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2019

August 15, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Venezuelan Forever 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Faithful Sue 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Madison Blues 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Big Darling 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Vinyardnina 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ashley’s Rose 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 My Gal Lollipop 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Galileo’s Affair 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Three Illusions 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I Idolize You 0.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 King Wildcat 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tempter 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Royalston 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Strong Composition 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Organic Jenny 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiger Blood 1.40 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gran Malbec 1.60 3.2 6-1
7 7 The Gipper 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Gran Saman 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Go Gone Gone 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Earth 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Union Grace 30.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Harryhee 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Manicomio 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Armando R 1.20 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sweet Giant 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Duellist 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dardanellos 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Anabella Queen 2.50 3 6-1
9 7 Britesideoftheroad 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Itsgottabemyway 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Zao’s Dreams 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Labhay (IRE) 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 1 Tequila Sheila 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 8 West Horizen 50.00 7.5 14-1
7 5 Fantastic Kingdom 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Zodiac Princess 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hint of Mary 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Vicky Apple 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bird of Peace 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Necessary 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Mambo Dancer 1.80 5.5 10-1
1 1 Rosepath 2.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 First Time Proud 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Truly Courageous 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Rolling Bobby 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sugar Bolt 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Nikee Kan 3.50 5 9-1
8 7 All About Stella 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Majestic Maiara 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Tracy Ann’s Legacy 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Prospective Diva 15.00 7 13-1
9 8 Glory Roll 10.00 7 13-1
7 6 Dahlonega 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Shessuchaknockout 6.00 8.6 16-1
11 10 It’s Easy to Say 30.00 11 21-1
6 6 Jessica 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Delta Bluesman 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Blings Express 1.80 2.4 5-1
3 2 Oh Danny Bear 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 5 Mr Atila 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Drop Kick 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bondetti 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Remarkable Silver 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gran Brandy 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 9 Na Na Dude 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tangled Tale 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Royal Chant 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 One Hot Drama 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Lasting Joy 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Freret 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Imperial Princess 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Matter of Fate 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Strand de Oro 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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