August 15, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Polygram | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ring Necked | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bobby the Brain | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swivel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gourmet Delight | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showmeister | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shotmaster | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ginner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bagels and Lox | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R Sweet Exchange | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pinkout | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dialin | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mistiz | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Littlemissbusiness | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Our Sarge | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | To the Hilt | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Da Winner Is | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wizard of Odds | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Seve | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhettbutler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Matter of Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Risaalaat | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boca Royalty | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tika | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’s Turn | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glinda | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Sunrise | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triborough Girl | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Beachtreasuregirl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thedevilmademedoit | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Revolving Love | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broad Storm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wacca Wacca Wacca | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Cappucino | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Premier Justice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Style | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cordmaker | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Juan | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brasstown | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clubman | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemonade Thursday | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phat Man | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I Got a Rock | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skole | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Faction Cat | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Youdge | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aktabantay (GB) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xy Speed | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Axtell | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celebration (GB) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Zira | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Eighty Six Mets | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Mystery | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R True Sensation | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jagger Baby | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rose M. | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Cross | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donna Quixote | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sadie’s Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valiant Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.