August 15, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Lov | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kennedie Sky | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forbidden Command | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Topaz Time | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Ice | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love of Art (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Snazzy Dresser | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Joe | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Erotic | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tough It Out | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calle Kingpin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | He Will | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Secret Courier | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tidal Effect | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast as Cass | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Kitty | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbroken Star | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starring John Wain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Road Rager | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Stormy D | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tinnie | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Liar | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Tokyo | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be a Shero | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surreptitious | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Montecatini | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Visual Magic | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cellar Door | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Taylor and Burton | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Biddy Duke | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leucothea | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musically | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Small Surprise | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foggy Bottom | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Agatha | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Stormborn | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Ginger | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shehastheritestuff | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Algorhythmic | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Annie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sedamar | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Papaya | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Bunny | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battleground State | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aries | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Liberalism | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Queen | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Want One | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Turn | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Honor | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Almost a Factor | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flying Business | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mamas Got Cash | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Circleofcolor | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Billy’sgotasingle | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.