Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2019

August 15, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Senor Blanco 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 4 Tiz Samurai 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Ahoymycaptain 8.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Orcus 1.80 3.8 7-1
1 1 Travel West 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 McHenry 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Making a Marc 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rock Can Tour 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dumbmark 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Ferlin Husky 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bootleggin 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Elusive Force 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Weiland 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sequins Storm 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 El Payaso 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Musket Hunter 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cast a Stone 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Street Edge 1.20 3.6 7-1
7 7 Cats Valentine 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Trombone Easton 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arrival 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 He’s Cheeky 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lemon Blitz 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Never Even Called 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dollar Blue 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Jimmy D 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Cut to Order 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Cadet Captain 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Golden Dart 1.60 3.2 6-1
2 2 Not Chopped Liver 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Greenhorn 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tonbo 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Suspenders 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kholstomer 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Copper Fiddle 1.60 3.3 6-1
6 6 Extra Medium 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hero of the Hour 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Military Hop 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Drayke’s Channel 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Travel Account 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Exprompt (FR) 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Executive Bonus 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Remembermis 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sailing Solo 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Juan Pablo 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Pont Du Gard 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Cloud to Ground 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Desani’s Chance 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 One Way Home 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Little Mighty Man 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Demand Ransom 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Christmas Cookie 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Here Comes Kyle 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Unbridled Ruler 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Swither’s Shortcut 20.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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