August 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adabel | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lilibet | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Express Banking | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Pecan | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clairessence | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cassie’s Rainbow | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Gauge | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Belle | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victorian Moon | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dad’s Missy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wine Not Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tuscan Damsel | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Mama | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vana Grand | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trinity Thundah | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Given | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ringdana | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Storm Chart | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | White Drill | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Devils Back | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baddest Blues | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hug Me Wendy | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seifert | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Town Cruise | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In View | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Handsome | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Society’s Tiger | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Cute | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Krachenwagen | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bitethebulletbro | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bala Falls | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fullthrottle Kid | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skynyrd | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Gump | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zoological | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fantastic Breeze | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muskoka Storm | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scocciatore | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bel Bimbo | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Too Hot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Growth | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Blue | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Revenge | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disclosure | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Optimystical | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Song for Artie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flo’s Syd | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Mrs. G | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polydeuces | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | White Wedding | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dunes of Namibia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Matteo | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bob W. | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Bear At Last | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Pugsley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willy’s Castle | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Chris’ Brew | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Decision Day | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Point | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo Jones | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cat Zapper | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victor’s Flag | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spanish River | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Party At Eight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Odds Get Even | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lakeside Park | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Google It | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Orazio | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Tally | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddyplaystheblues | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dry Land | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valuable Pillow | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frat Party | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancers Ghost | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Astaire | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Seagram Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Havercamp | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Are You Kidding Me | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Ritz (GB) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Forces | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Florida Won | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revved Up | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thor’s Rocket | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Guru | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Bankable | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hold’emforransom | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Sea (FR) | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodbridge | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Uproar | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Spring | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Hope | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deep Freeze | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Courtly Manner | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canmore | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viewfinder | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flight Deck | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Colonel Talbot | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Dancer | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Western Crusader | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.