August 11, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Punk Rock Princess | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lively Kitten | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Babe | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked T | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Emotions | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broke Financing | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Fairy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Sugar No Cream | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Turf | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Poser | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mine to Hold | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Draft | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Sky Painter | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allison K | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Madness | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Route | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pictura | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Boom Gone | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cisco Bay | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sing a Verse | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mike the Tiger | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Aponi | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Rinne | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Defend the Bay | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Valley | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nonno Pietro | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louis Treize | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Godlovesasinner | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Meatball | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forthegreatergood | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Maquina Gris | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battlebus | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Leonard | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquistodor Fuego | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brazen Dancer | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Man | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going to the Lead | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ghostly Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Hot Factor | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rule Yourself | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where You Was | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redeemed Gentleman | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dedicated | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What a Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cabinet Pik | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Conjecture | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Money | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feelin Foxie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frisky Whiskey | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty’s Right | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brexit Revenge | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hug a Tree | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love’s Legend | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rag Top | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fanniebellefleming | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Sister | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Awesome | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mortal Storm | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.