August 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zaya | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Approval | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bunyan’s Axe | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barbie’s King | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moochie Man | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kynsley’s Knight | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ship Lock | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drill Bit | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Two | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Addilyn | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hartling | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shell Shock | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milkah | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Field | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bosworthy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magalie | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rainfall | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Odyssey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motion’s First | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lapulga | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tenacity Zip | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sum Overture | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sturgeon | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Mint | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giant’s Voice | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karen’s Cove | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hardened | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shacklefords Storm | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glory of Florida | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby I’m Perfect | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winking At Thedude | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trappezoid | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie the Greek | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dexter Road | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tropicat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Nenuco | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Point Exactly | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Call Kitten | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Long Chuck | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Alida | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Til the End | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Break in the Storm | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fundy’s Tide | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midtown Rose | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cory Gal | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashing Diamond | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Tormenta | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Juliet | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sarasota Star | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Socks One | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fortlite | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maspero | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frio | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Duque | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coletta | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Doer | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Drill | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gimmeabreak | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capture the Crown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Outside Lookin In | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riley Rules | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Prince | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Fortune | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Totono | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Rules | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toms Chuchu | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Fonzy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T’s Southern Dude | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cupid’s Alpha Bet | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Street Code | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tipsy Kitten | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Son of Oahu | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Remember the Maine | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Wigwam Summer | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liz More Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Global Entry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Just the Facts | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jojo’s Dream | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bow Tie Affair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starship Apollo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chief White Sox | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quijote | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soldollie | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Field Trip | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Loaded | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetontheladies | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Belle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mi Karlita | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Susikin | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Spin Me | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Herecitykitty | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweepeno | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Total Treasure | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Bobtail | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rucia Mora | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quick Point | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Treasure | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Trace | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kanholdherwine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Little Nicole | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.