August 11, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kiana’s Love | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anonymously | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthediamonds | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tip Top Gal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cavernndchipmunks (FR) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respect My Candor | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Plot | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boyson | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drink | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lostinthemoment | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suite Alonso | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ohtani | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dinesen | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Super Classic | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Legend | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overdue | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Through | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kazan (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captivate | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colosi | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Klondike Creek | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Save Ground | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | America’s Surprise | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inspiressa | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superstition | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bast | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lizzario | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P Dreamin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frose | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m the Hero | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bandit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winding | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Single Me Out | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Testimony | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Skye Jade | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Checks in the Mail | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indy Jones | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Do Not Swipe Left | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Braggart | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sky Glory | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort York | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Champion Deputy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cross Town | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nolo Contesto | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carnivorous | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Give Me the Lute | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Rage | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capture the Sea | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rogallo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Ice | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Of Good Report | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Master (FR) | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anonymity | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show It N Moe It | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Ninja | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Danuska’s My Girl | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best of Me | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yuvetsi | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kram | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exuberance | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zusha | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paige Anne | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Savvy Gal | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Text Dont Call | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tacocat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Drive | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marci the Great | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Nova | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overjoyed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Big Blue Nation | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Augure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Circleofcolor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.