August 5, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Courting a Kiss | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sure Would Forest | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Newfie Express | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Derek | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Major | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victorious Bear | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Abe Froman | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Denmark | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lafleur | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Nero | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Journey | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Conqueror | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bois Bande | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madsam | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | English Classic | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Kingdom | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Carat Daddy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love of Mine | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Self Inflicted | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samarian | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constantino | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Fever | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drink in My Hand | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Occasional View | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Solution | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Virga | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dot’s Vision | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Zapper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Street Cat Sam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Goodoldhockeygame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alicia’s Kid | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In a Twist | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desolator | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Badge | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockbarton | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victor’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wiley O’Rielly | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lassiter | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stopvictimizingme | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lillz Not Crying | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trebek | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butilovesyababe | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Factory | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perlarana | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunner Ben | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subliminal | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hythe | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Above All Odds | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrius | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heydon’s Case | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waldorf | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormfuhr | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Stonehenge | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salieri | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Young Lord | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ojiisan | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | San Nicola Thunder | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reconfigure | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shakhimat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hollow Point | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | City Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lokinforpursemonee | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Almasty | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Grass Creek | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boreal Spirit | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forest Brother | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hope to Heaven | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harper P M | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Timing | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Kentucky Charm | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dot’s Last Call | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Slam | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point of Order | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piccadilly Beau | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We Take Checks | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foxy B | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Easter Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Crime Wave | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Shanty Town | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.