August 5, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shock Treatment | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatexcel | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pellagrino | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schliffy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fist of Thor | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Skittles | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dead Broke | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bridget’s Big Luvy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We Did | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Return of a Giant | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gitidone | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prodigious | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolara | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Estrickator | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ask Chuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aimed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Treasury Stock | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Fleet | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Praise the Moon | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy’s Placer | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glass Bridge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quench My Thirst | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lori’s Folly | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoeless | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Train | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sunshine Wild | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Vibe | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Try Flying | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rings of Jupiter | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zipped Code | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klaatu | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Emoticon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Mark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Gary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Alaapatique | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lunar Rille | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seaside Dancer | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bree’s Got Heart | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nth Degree | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mini Hero | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B B’s Busted | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Cool Cat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Serious Happiness | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Cathy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wildwood Dancer | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Caramelo | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dirt in Your Face | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cause for Surprise | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing My Halo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pinatubo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drosselmagic | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About Deb | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenyan | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Match Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Waitin On One | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Smart Royal T | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Cape May Ferry | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Clear Prosperity | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | No More Strippers | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Musical Comedy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Refuseing | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runs for Luck | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Six Blade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Vault | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Promised Storm | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Somethingfancy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Courtage | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clare’s Dowery | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Friday Mass | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Christmas | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chorite | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Like a Pro | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star of Midnight | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O’Paddy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mia Bella Rossa | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Neva’s Gal | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knock Out Kid | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’smyrisenstar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Primo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond N Simon | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Verrazano Vittoria | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gambit’s Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Sonata | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arch Cat | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozy Lover | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hydraulic | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Barna | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pnutbutter Special | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get the W | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiery Opal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Jack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Regal Retort | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormbeam | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin Debbie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Norma’s Charm | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not Leaving | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy Daisy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cawaja Time | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hola Princess | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chessen | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Camp Counselor | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Damocles Sword | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Louie’s Wish | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tadreeb | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Finn’s Posse | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Obviously Dramatic | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Snoopy’s Bid | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lawyer Roy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pickle Rick | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.