August 4, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | March of Dreams | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caspian Jewel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ariel | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bridlewise | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carolina Grace | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Time | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Via Ann | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bobbit | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Cantata | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzig Rainbow | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yum Yum | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzona | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly Stormy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Priceless | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kallan | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corey’s Best | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Shepperton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pink Lloyd | 0.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marten Lake | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie’s Gamble | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Wally | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jacks Escarpment | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Express | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Singer | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snell Flicka | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verradassah | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leroids Mommie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misguided Passion | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashinthepants | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready’s Princess | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kate’s Whistle | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tornado Cat | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freshieintheforest | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cheek to Cheek | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Executive Sight | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Get the Facts | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dun Drum | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Love to Singh | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Groundhog Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jungle Fighter | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Eight | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strike the Flag | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artistico | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ethical Funds | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Halo | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Farfalla | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jazz | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muskoka Suzie | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystery Day | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caseyoudidn’tknow | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaunessy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glib Marylin | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Sails | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pluie d’Avril | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Want No Attitude | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Seas Romance | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Khawlah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frost Dance | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Post to Post | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Broken Breeze | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | September Breeze | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic River | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alternative View | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calais Cat | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timberlea | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Borrowed Angel | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forestella | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H Is Just a Number | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | H. M. S. Pinafore | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamble’s Candy | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hell N Wild | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Vixen | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Falcon’s View | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Victor’s Destiny | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Edition | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apollo Benfica | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Standing Reserve | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bee Keeper | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charles Street | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Je Suis Charlie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sligo’shiddenbay | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Allium | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Rocket Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hobo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.