August 4, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Small Town Big Man | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leroy Be Thy Name | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starward | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Northern Big Iron | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jimbo’s Ridge | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tag Ur It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Affluent Gentleman | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Police Chief | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Priority | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nottingham Sheriff | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smilin Cobra | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | R V T Thunder Road | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Doctor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Derecho Warrior | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Knocks Big Thirst | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Or Peace | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haulin’ Freight | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Covington | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ameripoint | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Baby Dream | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Got Mojo | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Power | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bandwidth | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dale the Bug Man | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rocketringo | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alluring Actor | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fiftyshadesofbay | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | E Lee | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Deuce | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Shanghaied Roo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Light Bound Bid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Songatmidnight | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Do It | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Nasty Too | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Faye Runaway | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Run Some Koppy’s | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Ellie’s Girl | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Daahers Sugaar | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canela Caliente | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Go Admiral Go | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginger Rules | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chacha Real Smooth | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Or Not | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alohlouya | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Wild Ride | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Bar | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Big Dill | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Off Again On Again | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Gamble | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flight Boss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ruthless Rhett | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Whiskey Wednesday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Running Alex’sband | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quality Rocket | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drc All Inclusive | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock City Roadhog | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Horse Fly | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vegas Attraction | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scrutinizer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Aceituna | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Claude’s Choice | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Sydney Elizabeth | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Compound Baby | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Her Way Or No Way | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Love Gotta Go | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Baby Lylly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stonecold Stunner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | La India | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Real Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Danzig Who | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.