August 3, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed to Victory | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Laverns Lass | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broadway Duchess | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queens Day Victory | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Polly War Cry | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Spitfire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eartha | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Be Good | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectacular Road | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bulldog of Bergen | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commandeering | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gettysburg | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Dragon | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epic (ARG) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hotshot Anna | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Puntsville | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aiken to Be | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Loyree | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fiftyshadesograyce | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raintree Starlet | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hello America | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thenextbestthing | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Vez | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ekaterinoslav | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Zar | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louie’s Kingdom | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cockalorum | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vacation Lover | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drayke’s Channel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lively Spell | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well Maid | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Arrowsphere | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky At Justice | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I’ve Got Issues | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Oriental Lady | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | U Turn the Page | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Hold Queens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Devine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Allegiance | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next Monday | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full of Run | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No Boundaries | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mummy Troll | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galahad Kid | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donivan My Boy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boychild | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Portico | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Valentine | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sydney’s Treasure | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsarollofthedice | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Mandy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madam Novetzke | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millie | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Danzin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Susan Ann | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Volgograd | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carmelo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Run Tappy | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Offlee Fun | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pistol Box | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Roar of the Lion | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pamir | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Dragunov | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Papillon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J Z’s Last Try | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Al Taweel | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Contraction | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.