August 2, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fortressa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karate Hottie | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Alexandra | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Rose | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annie Time Girl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shes Just Capital | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lizz a Bee | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet Position | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Applesolutelyright | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Action Attack | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovinherwaseasy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Di | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Impressed | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golds’way | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kansas City Zip | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suspect | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gate Crew | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Charming | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Annie Cat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wayaway | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Hey | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hal’s Mischief | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Countess St Michel | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uknowiaintlying | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appollos Baby Girl | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Helen Hayes | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jukebox Money | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Running Vicky | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Bold Cat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fringe | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Circuit Reboot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Have the Facts | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Full Count | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Jules | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Constancia | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Almafuerte | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharing a Laugh | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Galilee | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Biz | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Of Note | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Straight Up Smarty | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | R U Forreal | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bonita Springs | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | On My Toes | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crusader Girl Too | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Launch Away | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Scat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Logi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maria’s Moment | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Burning Question (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drama Run | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mistletoe Miss | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Queen | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Hearts | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royalty Princess | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Numbers Game | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.