August 1, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Summer Sangria | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Justintimeforwine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frosted Rose | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smite | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dan the Man Can | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saint Marco | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr Phil | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get Smokin | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ninth of April | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strong Legacy | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alex Love Candy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Irishtown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chimney Rock | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | It’s Pazible | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Legend of Bam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nexus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady’s Island | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Clairvoyant Lady | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Deal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Flash | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zecha | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Archumybaby | 3.50 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble for Skylar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Determined Force | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Feeling It | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Royal Lineage | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bahamian Prince | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vaya Con Dios | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blues City | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King of American | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 7B | 6 | Inside Risk | 3.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Bayern’s Mirage | 4.50 | 19.7 | 37-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Rejected Again | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11B | 11 | Microscope | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Two Graces | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love That Goose | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Eighty Seven North | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joule | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Frosty Linz | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pecatonica | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ideational | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Memories Eternal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Waters | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Handle With Care | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Expense | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Katook | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tarallucci | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Disquiet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Bonnie | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Dame | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galadriel’s Light | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiple (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nazay | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alley to Calvary | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Avocado Toast | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fairy Link | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lune Lake | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appreciate | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shrink | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tradeable | 15.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gray Nile | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Call the Cat | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Curlin’s Knight | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddy Dirt | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inclunation | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Run for Boston | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Simma Cum Laude | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fallinginloveagain | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Lovely La La | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Maiden Beauty | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starlite Mission | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wish Upon | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blue Atlas | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dynamite Kitten | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Vip Nation | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purely Lucky | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broken Border | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Passporttovictory | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Turn and Bern | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cartwheel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ferdinanda | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Mighty Scarlett | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Kayla | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 1.20 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Curls | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Empressof the Nile | 1.60 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Violet Blue | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Free Kitty | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Birdstone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marconi | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Third Day | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin Road | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rocketry | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Zachary | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patch | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waynes Footsteps | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Disguise | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Klickitat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saltking | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Honest Toun | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zechariah | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wacky Pal | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Primo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of New York | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make Motime | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jimmy Jazz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Worth a Shot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Risp | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Clare’s Son Peter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Vincent Gambini | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Quiet Out East | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.