August 1, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Voluptuous | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expressly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J P’s Gia | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chosen Facts | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cooper’s Keeper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Little Chick | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ghaaleb’s Appeal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kim Dandy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ransomed | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Time Decision | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joyful Night | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Straight Up Smarty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Charlotte Marie | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mind for Mischief | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Del Mar Babe | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Daisey | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lena Horne | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Quality too Spare | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Livys Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Talking Zip | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Interest | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Kahn | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cup Game | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McLance | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Thunder | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Borodino | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jordan Game Six | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Old Fort | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bookie’s Blues | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enjoy the Journey | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penalty Shot | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rich Tradition | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Machine | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Masamune | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off to the Beach | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Giant View | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rare Hue | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Roul the Ice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Vo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Box | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roarin Missile | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | M C Squared | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jive Daddy | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He Is Rhuthless | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyingbyu | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Dann Good | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A J’s Posse | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Ambassador Luna | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gray Owl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Konza Kandy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Esther | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | O’Keeffe | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ximena | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Savvy Ally | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Hana Highway | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bentley’s Dream | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Readthecliffnotes | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honest to Goodness | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jackfruit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Magical Mystery | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You Split Tens | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salt Air | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andreas | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crow Moon | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Ramsey | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Defender | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Tan | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peppermint Crunch | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Image | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.