July 31, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Notice Me | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Piper’s Legacy | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Got Fire | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alkeline | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Look Incredible | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Gal | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foxxy Belle | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Airy Fairy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dolly Dagger | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Islay Inlet | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamin On a Cloud | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Liaison | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quietly Quick | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Eliminatr | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaufils | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therealquaff | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Blind | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Night | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ox Trot | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Mine | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bella Figura | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Modus Operandi | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Emma | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cobra Sophie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stop Who’s That | 2.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Mist | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deesse Nike | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liddyup | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Forester | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sumerian Bell | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hitters Park | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nashville Knight | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Rush | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Western Trouble | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fast Fairy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hambone | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skipped Him | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Force | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play On Sterling | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seemee | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overbearing | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Metadata | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harpy Eagle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seal Team Two | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Alarm | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darren’s Fortune | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recruit | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just for Rose | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lothbrook | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Diva On a Dime | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Over Victoria | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jenny’s Victory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Judith Can | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J M R Bold Vision | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unclaimedtreasure | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pirano | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zlatica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.