July 28, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special for You | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack’s Memory | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Rapiduno | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Vision | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Vision | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blezniatka | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Sevens | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ka Gee Gee | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seventh Wonder | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa D | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Water | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Diffley | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coolwater | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gideon’s Sword | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – King Corrie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Drink of Water | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Corduroy Road | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Runner | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Success | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Highway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trappeze Artist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Secret | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wandofuhr | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Mojo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Negotiations | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Four Knights | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carmenootz | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Crusader | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Where’s Anthony | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That’s My Mission | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fire On Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Souper Stonehenge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Giveaway | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Critic | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Strike | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost Island | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pinky Dude | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Given | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Drill | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Chart | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ringdana | 4.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Crawl From the Bar | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Downy Boy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ben Lomond | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Areocentric | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hesathriller | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gasconade | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Howie | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epilogue | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Sidney | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Station Rock | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letthebighossroll | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lakeside Park | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Money Matters | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trinity Thundah | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yola | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frac Attack | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Google It | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockcrest | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Veloce | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mazinaw Legend | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valuable Pillow | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Nijinsky S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tiz a Slam | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Resolution | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Sahib | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pumpkin Rumble | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dark Templar | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Avie’s Mesa | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arthur Kitt (GB) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Tapit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cooler Mike | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brass Compass | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Little Man | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O’Kratos | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glacier | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold’emforransom | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid’s Mischief | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ethanol | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Slew | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slip Kid | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R U Watchingbud | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Wise Treaty | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dani’s Victory | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Selling Out | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stash the Cash | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wincredible Star | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triglav | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Treasure | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Run With It | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boomba Brad | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes Forward | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danzigity | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Adidas | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seguimi | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timeskip | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nestleton Hush | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suitedconnected | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Dividend | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prideofdistinction | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Dat | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Argentium | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Elite | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zephan | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.