July 28, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Handfull | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polished Gal | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veil Dance | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Flyer | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Crossing | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtation Walk | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Lantern | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awe Honey | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Magical One | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Andy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creepy the Crab | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liar | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Rinne | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dusky | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Defend the Bay | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Valley | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Skyscanner | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Is for Artist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Love | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Gary | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Macho | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Frank’s Way | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Critical Review | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Informative | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Mick | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cannon’s Roar | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unequivocal | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Discretionary | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jorrin | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elementary | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alluring Silver | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broker’s Reward | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Clay Road | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greek Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Glad Dad | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Purpose | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Detroit Cowboy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Exchange | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobo Jones | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Down in the Holler | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iron Lion | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disco Express | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Nation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ticker Tape Parade | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lovely Games | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sensational Notion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Well Hello | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Setubal | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Able to Smile | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Song | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantic Avenue | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ortinola | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Final Fear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Great Herman | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Thunder | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allaboutmike | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Ain’t Never | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burford | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daystrike | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harlan’s Hunch | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eastern Bay | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love You Much | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hall Pass | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Youdge | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baltic Art (GER) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Excelisberg | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tempt Me Twice | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jump Street Hero | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly E Dubai | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Align the Numbers | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Awesome D J | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tachyon | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Falcon | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Eyck | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charmn Charlie Ray | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tracy With a Y | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Dreamin | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fo’c’sle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | To Be Or Not to Be | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bay Hill | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Itgot Grandma | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Arrivederci | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Gold | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Port Louis | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greek God | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broad Expanse | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A True Gentleman | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sventastic | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Howyaformoney | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twin Valor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Paid Holiday | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rafter | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Press Release | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creighton | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Tracker | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aggregate | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sing a Verse | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Going to the Lead | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louis Treize | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | L’Overture | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.